Complete Daily Banking Digest – 26 May 2024

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Welcome to Daily Banking Digest, your premier source for the latest news and insights on May 26, 2024, focusing on banking, the economy, and finance. Our platform offers a comprehensive overview of the day’s most critical financial stories, market trends, and economic developments. Whether you’re a professional in the financial sector, an investor monitoring market movement, or someone interested in staying informed about the economic landscape, Daily Banking Digest provides reliable, up-to-date information.

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Karnataka Bank’s Q4 Net Profit Declines by 22.48%, Proposes 55% Dividend

Karnataka Bank Ltd. reported a 22.48% decline in net profit for the fourth quarter of 2023-24, primarily due to a one-time staff cost related to enhanced actuarial provisions. However, the bank’s annual net profit increased by 10.68% for the fiscal year 2023-24. The bank’s business turnover grew by 15.06% year-on-year, with significant improvements in gross and net NPAs.

Key Points

Net Profit – Q4FY24: ₹274.24 crore (22.48% decline) – FY23-24: ₹1306.28 crore (10.68% increase)

One-Time Staff Cost – ₹152.2 crore in Q4FY24

Net Interest Income – Q4FY24: ₹834.03 crore – Q4FY23: ₹860.05 crore

Other Income – Q4FY24: ₹419.42 crore – Q4FY23: ₹395.24 crore

Net Interest Margin – Q4FY24: 3.30% – Q4FY23: 3.87%

Business Turnover – As of March 31, 2024: ₹1,71,059.49 crore (15.06% growth)

Gross Advances – ₹73,001.66 crore (19.08% growth)

Deposits – ₹98,057.83 crore (12.24% growth)

CASA Deposits – 31.97% of total deposits

Gross NPA – March 2024: 3.53% – March 2023: 3.74%

Net NPA – March 2024: 1.58% – March 2023: 1.70%

Standard Restructured Advances – March 31, 2024: ₹1,579 crore – March 31, 2023: ₹2,571 crore

Recoveries – Approximately ₹280 crore in FY24

Gross NPA and Restructured Portfolio – FY22: 11% of gross advances – FY23: 7.9% of gross advances – FY24: 5.7% of gross advances

RBI’s $25 Billion Windfall: Fiscal Deficit Reduction or Spending Boost? Investors Await the Decision

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has announced a record dividend transfer of $25 billion to the Indian government, providing the incoming government with significant fiscal flexibility. The government can either use the funds to boost spending or reduce the fiscal deficit, both of which would be welcomed by investors.

Key Points:

Fiscal Flexibility:

  • The RBI’s dividend transfer gives the incoming government the option to either increase spending or narrow the fiscal deficit.

Bond and Equity Markets:

  • Bond yields declined and equity markets rose following the announcement of the dividend transfer.

Government Spending Options:

  • The government could use the funds for infrastructure spending or “populist” stimulus measures.

Opposition Promises:

  • The opposition Congress has promised cash handouts and debt waivers, while the BJP has avoided major welfare measures.

Government’s Spending History:

  • The BJP-led government has prioritized infrastructure spending over populist measures.

Fiscal Consolidation:

  • The government could use the dividend to reduce the fiscal deficit, which has been steadily declining.

Tax Collections:

  • Strong tax collections in April indicate that the government is on track to meet its fiscal goals.

External Member’s View:

  • Ashima Goyal, an external member of the monetary policy committee, expects the government to achieve its targeted fiscal deficit of 4.5% by 2025/26.

Favorable Rabi Harvest and Improved Monsoon Forecast to Mitigate Food Inflation: FinMin Report

The Finance Ministry anticipates a favorable monsoon and effective policies to mitigate food inflation. However, it acknowledges the potential impact of global geopolitical tensions on commodity prices. While retail inflation has declined, food inflation remains elevated due to vegetable prices. The government expects a normal monsoon and wheat procurement to ease price pressures. The industrial and service sectors are performing well, supported by domestic demand and tentative external demand. India’s manufacturing sector may benefit from the “China Plus One” strategy. Despite geopolitical tensions and commodity price volatility, the government’s macroeconomic buffers are expected to help navigate these challenges.

Key Points:

Food Inflation: – Food inflation increased to 8.7% in April, driven by vegetable prices. – Wheat procurement and a normal monsoon are expected to ease price pressures.

Other Sectors: – Industrial and service sectors are performing well, supported by domestic demand. – India’s exports have benefited from improved economic activity in Europe and the US. – India’s manufacturing firms may benefit from the “China Plus One” strategy.

Fiscal Angle: – Robust government capital spending and fiscal consolidation plans have addressed concerns about debt sustainability.

Challenges: – Geopolitical tensions and global commodity price volatility pose challenges. – The government’s macroeconomic buffers are expected to help navigate these challenges.

RBI Dividend Bonanza: HSBC Anticipates Easing of Banking System Liquidity in the Coming Year

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has transferred a record dividend of ₹2.1 lakh crore to the central government, which may prompt the government to shift its focus towards current expenditures, particularly social welfare schemes. The government has the option to save or spend the dividend, or a combination of both. Saving the dividend could reduce the fiscal deficit and improve banking sector liquidity, while spending it could boost consumption and economic growth.

Key Points

RBI Dividend Windfall – RBI transferred a record dividend of ₹2.1 lakh crore to the central government. – This is 0.3% of GDP higher than budgeted in the interim budget.

Potential Uses of the Dividend – Save: Reduce fiscal deficit and improve banking sector liquidity. – Spend: Boost consumption and economic growth. – Combination: Spend a portion and save the rest.

Sources of the Dividend – Interest earned on foreign currency assets. – Sale of foreign exchange reserves.

External Factors Contributing to RBI Profitability – Higher global interest rates. – USD volatility.

AI’s Impact on Employment: A Shift from Jobs to Hobbies, According to Elon Musk

Elon Musk predicts that artificial intelligence (AI) will eventually eliminate all jobs, but he believes this could lead to a future where work becomes optional and a universal high income is necessary. However, he also expresses concerns about the potential impact on human fulfillment and the need for responsible AI development.

Key Points:

AI’s Impact on Jobs: – Musk predicts that AI will eliminate all jobs, making work optional. – AI and robots will provide all necessary goods and services.

Universal High Income: – Musk suggests a “universal high income” to ensure everyone has access to basic necessities in a job-free future.

AI’s Rapid Advancement: – AI capabilities have advanced rapidly, outpacing regulations and responsible use.

Musk’s Concerns about AI: – Musk expresses concerns about AI as his biggest fear. – He questions the emotional fulfillment of a future without jobs.

AI’s Potential for Meaning: – Musk believes humans may still have a role in giving AI meaning.

Social Media and AI: – Musk advises parents to limit children’s social media consumption, as platforms use dopamine-maximizing AI.

AI Adoption in the Workplace: – AI adoption in workplaces is slower than expected. – Jobs requiring high emotional intelligence and human interaction are less likely to be replaced by AI.

Karnataka Vikas Grameena Bank Reports Net Profit of ₹104.16 Crore in FY 2023-24

Karnataka Vikas Grameena Bank (KVGB) reported a significant increase in net profit for 2023-24, growing by 159% to ₹104.16 crore. Despite challenges in rural areas, the bank implemented strategies to improve recovery and reduce NPAs. The bank’s business level also increased to ₹35884 crore, and it aims to achieve a total business of ₹40000 crore and a net profit of ₹175 crore in 2024-25.

Key Points:

Net Profit: – Net profit increased by 159% to ₹104.16 crore in 2023-24.

Challenges in Rural Areas: – Erratic rainfall and drought impacted economic development. – Decline in CASA and NPA recovery.

Strategies for Improvement: – Personalised service, door-to-door visits, and engagement with gram sabhas.

NPA Reduction: – Gross NPA decreased from 6.96% to 5.72%. – Net NPA declined from 4.64% to 3.40%.

Business Growth: – Business level increased to ₹35884 crore in 2023-24. – Growth of ₹2733 crore despite economic slowdown.

Future Goals: – Total business target of ₹40000 crore in 2024-25. – Net profit target of ₹175 crore in 2024-25. – Focus on agriculture, MSME, and retail sectors.

Branch Network: – 629 branches and 10 regional offices in nine districts of Karnataka.

Paytm’s Growth Strategy: Prioritizing UPI, Card Processing, and EMI for Payment Services Expansion

Paytm is optimistic about its payment services business, driven by Unified Payments Interface (UPI), card processing, and EMI payments. UPI now accounts for 80-85% of Paytm’s Gross Merchandise Value (GMV), highlighting its importance. The company’s merchant GMV has also recovered, with a 39% year-on-year increase in FY24. Paytm benefits from UPI incentives and higher payment processing margins, contributing to its revenue growth. The company is also expanding its device subscriptions and launching new ad campaigns to boost user engagement.

Key Points

UPI Dominance: – UPI now accounts for 80-85% of Paytm’s GMV.

Merchant GMV Recovery: – Paytm’s merchant GMV surged 39% year-on-year to ₹18.3 lakh crore in FY24.

Revenue Streams: – Paytm’s revenue includes UPI incentives, payment processing margins, and EMI aggregations.

UPI Incentives: – Paytm received ₹288 crore in UPI incentives in Q4FY24, up from ₹182 crore in Q4FY23.

Payment Margin Growth: – Paytm’s net payment margin rose by 50% to ₹2,955 crore.

Positive Growth Trend: – Paytm has seen a positive growth trend in Payment GMV since April.

RuPay Credit Card on UPI: – Paytm Soundboxes offer zero MDR for RuPay credit card transactions under ₹2,000.

Merchant Subscription Growth: – Paytm’s merchant subscriptions increased by 39 lakh to 1.07 crore as of March 2024.

Device Subscription Expansion: – Paytm aims to increase its device subscription per device metric.

Ad Campaign Focus: – Paytm is launching new ad campaigns to promote UPI, Soundbox, and other payment instruments.

UPI Integration Boosts RuPay Credit Card Market Share by 10%

RuPay credit cards have experienced a surge in adoption due to their integration with the Unified Payments Interface (UPI) network. This integration has enabled the issuance of virtual RuPay cards, which have gained popularity, with nearly 20% of all credit cards issued being virtual. The widespread acceptance of UPI payments, with over 32 crore merchant acceptance touchpoints, has further contributed to the growth of ‘credit cards on UPI.’

Key Points:

Market Share Growth: – RuPay credit cards’ market share has increased from 3% in FY23 to 10% in FY24, primarily due to UPI’s success.

Virtual Credit Cards: – The concept of virtual credit cards has gained traction, with nearly 20% of all credit cards issued being virtual. – Virtual card spends are growing by 15% on a monthly basis.

UPI Integration: – Kiwi, a fintech platform, has onboarded over 1 lakh virtual RuPay cards in less than 10 months. – Credit card on UPI transactions exceed ₹100 crore monthly, with 75% occurring at small merchants.

Merchant Acceptance: – UPI payments have a broad network of 32 crore merchant acceptance touchpoints, far more than credit card PoS terminals. – This extensive network has driven the growth of ‘credit cards on UPI.’

User Demographics: – Adoption is highest among young adults below 40 years, accounting for 78% of users.

Payment Patterns: – Credit card-linked UPI payments have become the primary mode of payment for many users, with average monthly user spends of over ₹22,000. – The average number of transactions is 21, four times higher than traditional physical credit card payments. – The average transaction size is ₹1,125, lower than the traditional average card ticket of around ₹4,000.

Usage Categories: – Grocery and Kirana stores lead the adoption of ‘credit cards on UPI,’ comprising 33% of total usage. – Apparel and electronics account for 15%, and food and dining for 7%. – The remaining 45% expenses are spread across various categories, indicating the growing reliance on digital payment solutions for both discretionary and daily expenses.

Muthoot Capital Services Reports Net Profit of ₹122.66 Crore for Fiscal Year 2023-24

Muthoot Capital Services Limited (MCSL) reported a 17% increase in net profit to ₹11.68 crore for the quarter ending March 31, 2024. Compared to the same period last year, the net profit surged by 55% to ₹122.66 crore. The company disbursed loans worth ₹1,438.42 crore, resulting in a total AUM of ₹2,018.17 crore.

Key Points:

Net Profit: – Q4 net profit: ₹11.68 crore, up 17% from Q3 – Year-on-year net profit: ₹122.66 crore, up 55%

Disbursements and AUM: – Loans disbursed: ₹1,438.42 crore – Total AUM: ₹2,018.17 crore

Management Quotes: – Thomas George Muthoot, Managing Director: “FY24 was a year of resurgence with strong performance, high disbursements, reduced GNPA, and record PAT.” – Mathews Markose, Chief Executive Officer: “Objectives include AUM growth, market share expansion, diversification, customer acquisition, asset quality improvement, digital transformation, and talent attraction.”

Indian Coffee Exports Surge 12% to $1.28 Billion in 2023-24

India’s coffee exports experienced a significant increase of 12.22% in 2023-24, reaching USD 1.28 billion. This growth was primarily driven by the rising demand for Robusta coffee in global markets. India is the third-largest coffee producer and exporter in Asia, cultivating both Arabica and Robusta varieties.

Key Points:

  • Export Value: India’s coffee exports rose by 12.22% to USD 1.28 billion in 2023-24.
  • Volume: Coffee shipments from India increased by 13.35% to 1,25,631 tonnes in the January-March period of 2023-24.
  • Coffee Varieties: India grows both Arabica and Robusta coffee varieties, with Arabica having lower caffeine content and a sweeter taste, while Robusta is more bitter.
  • Export Destinations: Major coffee export destinations for India include Italy, Russia, the UAE, Germany, and Turkey.

HPV Vaccines: Potential Protection for Men Against Cancer

New research indicates that the HPV vaccine effectively prevents cancer in men, particularly mouth and throat cancers. However, vaccination rates among boys in the United States remain significantly lower than among girls.

Key Points:

HPV Vaccine Efficacy in Men:

  • Vaccinated men have a lower risk of developing HPV-related cancers, including those of the anus, penis, and mouth and throat.
  • The vaccine’s maximum benefit is expected to be realized in the coming decades.

Vaccination Rates:

  • HPV vaccination rates have increased in both sexes, but males lag behind females.
  • From 2011 to 2020, vaccination rates among females rose from 38% to 49%, while among males they increased from 8% to 36%.

Importance of Vaccination:

  • HPV vaccines significantly reduce cancer risk in both men and women.
  • Parents of both boys and girls should be aware of the vaccine’s benefits.
  • Young men who have not been vaccinated can still receive the shots.
  • Vaccination is most effective before exposure to the virus.

RBI Fines Hero FinCorp Rs 3.1 Lakh for Regulatory Violations

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has imposed a penalty of Rs 3.1 lakh on Hero FinCorp Limited for non-compliance with fair practices code provisions. The penalty is based on deficiencies in regulatory compliance and does not affect the validity of any transactions or agreements entered into by the company.

Key Points:

  • Penalty Imposed: RBI imposed a penalty of Rs 3.1 lakh on Hero FinCorp Limited.
  • Reason for Penalty: Non-compliance with certain provisions relating to fair practices code.
  • Statutory Inspection: RBI conducted a statutory inspection of the company as of March 31, 2023.
  • Notice Issued: RBI issued a notice to the company to show cause why a penalty should not be imposed.
  • Findings: RBI found that the company failed to convey loan terms and conditions in writing to borrowers in their vernacular language.
  • Penalty Without Prejudice: The penalty does not affect any other actions that RBI may take against the company.

ICICI Bank Appoints Pradeep Kumar Sinha as Part-Time Chairman

The Reserve Bank of India has approved the appointment of Pradeep Kumar Sinha as the Part-time Chairman of ICICI Bank for a three-year term beginning July 1, 2024. Sinha will succeed G. C. Chaturvedi, who is retiring on June 30, 2024.

Key Points:

  • Appointment of Pradeep Kumar Sinha:
  • Appointed as Part-time Chairman of ICICI Bank for a three-year term starting July 1, 2024.
  • Background of Pradeep Kumar Sinha:
  • Government Nominee Director in major Public Sector Undertakings (ONGC, IOCL, HPCL, BPCL, GAIL).
  • Held positions in Power and Oil and Gas Ministries, including Financial Advisor and Special Secretary, Petroleum and Natural Gas; Secretary, Ports and Shipping; and Secretary, Power.
  • Expertise in Energy, Infrastructure, Transport, Urban Development, and Finance.
  • Joined Indian Administrative Service in 1977 after completing Masters in Economics from Delhi School of Economics.
  • Served as Cabinet Secretary for over four years and in the Prime Minister’s Office before retiring in March 2021.

Indian Overseas Bank to Expand Network with 88 New Branches in FY24

Indian Overseas Bank (IOB) plans to expand its presence by establishing 88 new branches across India during the current financial year. The bank aims to focus on unbanked rural areas, with eight branches planned for Puducherry, Cuddalore, Nagapattinam, and Mayiladuthurai districts. IOB is also committed to introducing innovative banking products to meet customer needs.

Key Points:

  • Expansion Plans: IOB aims to open 88 new branches across India this financial year.
  • Focus on Rural Areas: Eight branches will be established in Puducherry, Cuddalore, Nagapattinam, and Mayiladuthurai districts to serve unbanked rural areas.
  • Innovative Products: IOB is committed to introducing innovative banking products to suit customer needs.
  • Business Growth: The bank’s total business has surpassed Rs 5 lakh crore, indicating substantial growth.

Indian Rupee Surges to Two-Month High on Foreign Investment Inflows

The Indian rupee strengthened against the US dollar on Friday, reaching a two-month high due to foreign inflows into domestic equities. The rupee’s appreciation was supported by economic growth and fund inflows, despite a stronger dollar index. However, the RBI intervened in the foreign exchange market to curb volatility, and the rupee gave up some gains by the end of the trade.

Key Points:

Rupee Appreciation: – The rupee rose to 83.03 per dollar during the day, the highest intra-day gain since December 15, 2023. – The rupee ended the session at 83.10 to a dollar, its highest level since March 19.

Factors Contributing to Appreciation: – Foreign inflows into domestic equities – Economic growth in India

RBI Intervention: – The Reserve Bank of India intervened in the foreign exchange market via dollar buys to curb volatility.

Dollar Index: – The dollar index dipped slightly but remained on track for its largest weekly gain in over a month.

Government Bond Yields: – Government bond yields inched up slightly as traders wound up their positions ahead of the weekend. – The yield on the benchmark 10-year government bond settled at 7.00 per cent.

Bond Market Outlook: – The bond market eyes the upcoming monetary policy meeting in June to assess the RBI’s liquidity stance. – Traders are investing in the most liquid bond, the 10-year benchmark bond, reflecting a cautious approach.

IRDAI Shortens Audit Firm Tenure to Enhance Audit Quality

IRDAI’s new corporate governance guidelines have reduced the engagement period of statutory auditors with insurance companies to four years, followed by a three-year cooling-off period. This move aims to enhance audit quality, reduce complacency, and promote independence and transparency.

Key Points:

Audit Firm Tenure: – Audit firms now have a four-year term for joint statutory audits. – A mandatory three-year cooling-off period follows the four-year term.

Cooling-Off Period: – Outgoing auditors and their affiliates are barred from investment risk management or concurrent audits during the cooling-off period. – Incoming auditors must not include any affiliates of the retiring auditor.

Rationale for Reduced Tenure: – Ensures a fresh review of financial statements every four years. – Enhances audit quality and reduces complacency.

Industry Reactions: – Jaspreet Bedi of Nangia & Co LLP supports the move, citing its benefits for independence and transparency. – G Ramaswamy, former CA Institute President, believes the four-year term is “very short” and should be extended to five or seven years.

Other Guidelines: – IRDAI mandates joint audits for all insurance companies. – Audit firms can carry out statutory audits of not more than three insurers at a time. – Audit firms cannot have audit assignments of more than two insurers in the same line of business at a time.

Income Tax Department Announces Cost Inflation Index for FY 2023-24

The Income Tax Department has announced the Cost Inflation Index (CII) for the fiscal year 2024-25, which is used to calculate long-term capital gains from the sale of immovable property, securities, and jewelry. The CII has been set at 363, reflecting an inflation rate of approximately 4.3%. This index helps taxpayers adjust their capital gains for inflation, reducing their tax liability.

Key Points:

  • Cost Inflation Index (CII):
    • Used to calculate long-term capital gains from the sale of capital assets.
    • Adjusts for inflation to ensure taxpayers are taxed on real appreciation, not inflation-driven gains.
  • CII for 2024-25:
    • Set at 363, indicating an inflation rate of 4.3%.
    • Consistent with the retail inflation rate of 4.83% in April 2024.
  • Benefits of CII:
    • Allows taxpayers to claim larger tax rebates.
    • Reduces tax liability by adjusting capital gains for inflation.
  • Indexed Cost of Acquisition:
    • CII is used to calculate the indexed cost of acquisition, which is the inflation-adjusted purchase price of an asset.
  • Long-Term Capital Gains:
    • Assets must be held for a specified period (36 months for most assets, 24 months for immovable property and unlisted shares, 12 months for listed securities) to qualify as long-term capital gains.

Rooftop Solar: Transforming Energy Consumption and Empowering Consumers

India is experiencing a surge in rooftop solar installations, driven by government incentives, technological advancements, and a desire for sustainable energy. This “rooftop revolution” is transforming energy consumption patterns, reducing carbon emissions, and empowering rural communities with access to electricity. However, challenges remain, including grid stability, storage constraints, and equitable access to solar energy.

Key Points

Rooftop Revolution – Increasing adoption of rooftop solar systems by individuals, businesses, and industries. – Reduced dependency on fossil fuels and carbon emissions. – India ranks 5th globally in solar power deployment, with 10.37 GW from rooftop projects.

Government Incentives – Solar Rooftop Subsidy Scheme and net energy metering laws. – Continuous efforts to lower solar panel costs.

Grid Integration – Advanced smart grids and monitoring systems ensure efficient distribution and use of solar energy. – Solar power competes with traditional electricity sources in many areas.

Empowering Rural Communities – Solar energy provides hope for rural electrification and socio-economic development. – Off-grid solar solutions close the energy gap and improve access to clean electricity. – Solar electrification promotes education, healthcare, and economic prospects.

Challenges and Opportunities – Intermittent nature of solar power and storage constraints. – Need for investment in energy storage systems and grid infrastructure. – Ensuring fair access to solar energy in rural areas.

Conclusion – India’s rooftop solar revolution is a key part of its renewable energy goals. – Collaboration, innovation, and equitable policies are crucial for maximizing solar power’s potential. – India is poised to lead the transition to a sustainable and brighter energy future.

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